Real 10-Year Yield

10-year Treasury yield minus 10-year breakeven inflation

2.74 pp99th percentile
1W: ↓ 0.17 pp1M: ↑ 0.06 pp

As of 2026-10-16 · Updated October 20, 2026

What it means

  • The 10-year Treasury yield after subtracting the inflation rate that bond markets expect over the next decade.
  • This is roughly the inflation-adjusted return a buyer of a 10-year Treasury can expect to earn. It's one of the most-watched gauges of how tight or loose monetary policy is — when real yields are high, borrowing is genuinely expensive; when they're low or negative, money is effectively cheap.
  • Uses TIPS-implied breakeven inflation, which reflects what markets expect inflation to average over the next 10 years (rather than what inflation has been recently).
Data Sources